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Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Contingency

There is nothing as strong as faith. There nothing as devastating as losing faith. It can result in unimaginable acts.

I would hope the major industrialized nations of the world have been actively developing contingency plans. Catastrophic events occur. No one seriously anticipated the 2008 financial crisis nor the resulting collateral damages around the world. No one envisioned the French revolution, certainly not the aristocracy. Traditional Russia never thought there would be a revolution. No one in the West thought the Soviet Union would collapse. No one seriously thinks America’s time has come. The unexpected happens.

It is in the interests of the major nations of the world to have plans they can instantly execute if the unthinkable happens. I imagine a spark will be some incident in regards to the economic disparity in America. It will explode into rioting and civil unrest across the nation. Day to day sustaining activities will come to an abrupt halt.  The financial markets will seize. The government would be at a loss because those charged with maintaining civil order would have joined the rebellion. The military would be fragmented choosing sides. America, that was the market to the world, would be closed for business.

Container ships on the high seas would anchor. Super tankers with oil and liquid natural gas would change destination. The influx of raw materials from around the world would be trapped in their flow. America is a “just in time” nation. Things arrive only when they are immediately to be used. A disruption in supplies of a week or more would bring America to its knees. The enabling supplies from around the world would be soon exhausted.

All roads in the world today lead to America. The world has its eggs in one basket, America. It is in the interests of every nation to be prepared for the unimaginable.

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